# Pasar crypto 30 Oct: rezim risk-on, BTC -5,2% sepekan

*Harian · 30 October 2026 13:47 WIB · rezim risk-on · keyakinan sedang*

## Ringkasan eksekutif

- BTC diperdagangkan di $76.978 (-1,30% 24 jam, -5,19% 7 hari), 38.2% di bawah puncak historis tersimpan.
- Kapitalisasi pasar total $2.65 triliun (-4,47% 24 jam) dengan dominasi BTC 59.4%.
- Breadth 7 hari 7 dari 36 aset positif, median -7,1%.
- Fear & Greed 30/100 (Fear), rata-rata 7 hari 48.
- Rezim terdeteksi: risk-on dengan skor 2.

## Apa yang terjadi

Data per 2026-10-30 13:47 WIB menunjukkan tekanan jual pada aset besar. BTC -1,30% dalam 24 jam dan -5,19% sepekan, sementara ETH -1,96% dan -7,48%.

Di sisi makro, imbal hasil UST 10 tahun di 4.98% (-31 bps dalam 20 hari) dan VIX 16.9. Korelasi 60 hari BTC dengan SPX +0.44.


## Mengapa penting

Pergerakan harga perlu dibaca bersama kondisi likuiditas dan positioning. Tanpa ekspansi likuiditas, kenaikan lebih rentan gagal di area resistance.


## Aliran institusi dan likuiditas

Suplai stablecoin 300,15 miliar dolar (data 2026-10-29), -1,17% 7 hari, -2,03% 30 hari.

TVL DeFi total 86,15 miliar dolar (data 2026-10-29), -6,38% 7 hari, -9,65% 30 hari.

Dalam sepekan likuiditas stablecoin berkontraksi dan TVL DeFi berkontraksi; ekspansi keduanya biasanya mendahului kenaikan harga yang lebih tahan.


## Skenario

- **Dasar (50%)**: Konsolidasi di kisaran 90 hari terakhir.
- **Naik (25%)**: Tembus resistance 90 hari dengan volume.
- **Turun (25%)**: Gagal bertahan di support terdekat.

## Risiko utama

- Volatilitas naik jika imbal hasil obligasi melonjak.

## Yang perlu dipantau

- Support BTC $62.900, resistance $86.620.

## Fakta

- BTC diperdagangkan di $76.978 (-1,30% 24 jam, -5,19% 7 hari), 38.2% di bawah puncak historis tersimpan.
- Kapitalisasi pasar total $2.65 triliun (-4,47% 24 jam) dengan dominasi BTC 59.4%.
- Breadth 7 hari 7 dari 36 aset positif, median -7,1%.
- Fear & Greed 30/100 (Fear), rata-rata 7 hari 48.

## Spekulasi

- Narasi LLM tidak tersedia, interpretasi minimal.

## Sumber

1. [CoinDesk] Bitcoin, ether and XRP selloff wipes out $1.5 billion in leveraged crypto bets - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/30/bitcoin-ether-and-xrp-selloff-wipes-out-usd1-5-billion-in-leveraged-crypto-bets
2. [Cointelegraph] Strategy eyes more Bitcoin buys as Saylor touts $30B credit capacity - https://cointelegraph.com/news/strategy-30-billion-digital-credit-capacity-bitcoin-buys?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
3. [Cointelegraph] North Korea’s TraderTraitor linked to $6.3B Binance hack - https://cointelegraph.com/news/north-korea-linked-to-63b-binance-hack-by-crypto-investigators?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
4. [CoinDesk] XRP Ledger developers tighten the rules for who can hold 'restricted' tokens - https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/10/30/xrp-ledger-developers-tighten-the-rules-for-who-can-hold-restricted-tokens
5. [CoinDesk] Binance hack bites India's largest crypto exchange as it curbs futures trading - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/30/coindcx-halts-new-crypto-futures-bets-as-binance-incident-disrupts-liquidity
6. [CoinDesk] Binance hacker splits $1.4 billion of bitcoin into 19 wallets that no one can freeze - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/30/binance-hacker-splits-usd1-4-billion-of-bitcoin-into-19-wallets-that-no-one-can-freeze
7. [CoinDesk] $6 billion Binance hack sends bitcoin, ether tumbling; Standard Chartered expects more pain - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/30/usd6-billion-binance-hack-sends-bitcoin-ether-tumbling-standard-chartered-sees-more-losses-ahead
8. [CoinDesk] Institutional crypto investors rush to pull funds from exchanges after Binance hack - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/30/institutional-crypto-investors-rush-to-pull-funds-from-exchanges-after-binance-hack
9. [Cointelegraph] Binance hack could accelerate shift to DEXs: Standard Chartered - https://cointelegraph.com/news/binance-hack-could-accelerate-shift-to-dexs-standard-chartered?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
10. [CoinDesk] Crypto's longtime foe, North Korea's Lazarus Group, likely behind Binance hack: blockchain sleuths - https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/10/29/crypto-s-longtime-foe-north-korea-s-lazarus-group-likely-behind-binance-hack-blockchain-sleuths
11. [Makro & The Fed] Gold slips as higher oil, US inflation data bolster Fed hike bets - https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxOMFY2WEZOWHhyVDVPMkM2ZVUxM01TR09lcUZ0RlBWNF96QkJzWXhUZWpIbmlRSUlxN3FiZ0pEYWVXOW1YcVBQcHQ4cjU1NFpCQVlnS3pneWlKeTZIRjJzWkJuek9OeDhNSGxTU1ozV1g0czltbldNNkJORWRWS0ZBU25WdURjNWNpREdpdmZoV1c2ZzBnUmM5cm5HTG16OFpEdVhLWC13RkxHM3IxX1E?oc=5
12. [The Block] Bitcoin slides below $77,000, BNB drops amid Binance hack - https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-10-29-bitcoin-slides-below-77000-binance-hack-432183
13. [CoinDesk] Binance hack drained wallets backing customer assets, reserve data shows - https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/30/binance-hack-drained-wallets-backing-customer-assets-reserve-data-shows
14. [Cointelegraph] Binance hack may involve private key ‘misuse,’ not theft: Blockaid CEO - https://cointelegraph.com/news/binance-hack-may-involve-private-key-misuse-not-theft-blockaid-ceo?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
15. [Makro & The Fed] U.S. inflation picks up, while real consumer spending stalls - Honolulu Star-Advertiser - https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOU2NOdF8ydVk1aDNLX0FUd1R0dmZTSHBmQTR3cmRKX0JFeE42a09sdjdmTDR4Z2NKUkIzOTE2Xzl1UVVYZnlaWTVqMjZjbGJEclpIV3JnS3NNM2JoY2ZPYm9jOG9ZZmtRTTFlLUpva05RM3otcmZqMnZFa1RWYW1hLXRDN2R0bnliWnN0ZDZfVUJSSjVzWmNldlFxNkpTSkVoSXFmM0l6bGJwN1R6SWhhc0pyYThGUQ?oc=5
16. [Makro & The Fed] Gold Steadies Near $4,000 as Inflation Keeps Rate-Hike Bets Firm - https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPbUN6SVNKYlRQbEVSTHhPbWNJZEltZHRnb2FKUU1ld285b0ZNaHhReVF5NmZPUkNXbEF6ekg2TU96VmJqbXlTVFlSeG9IN0I4bEt6RlljWlhYS05ITEs3dERHMDZia3ZVenRDaHNHc2hyNUhXaWhkNkJPOHNBTGlSNXJIMjhsMkRYODhBSlNLeGVHVTlQRE5mbzhJSEd0bXZFdjJfUDBfbmd1UGEyTlVzdUd6bGU?oc=5
17. [Cointelegraph] Binance hack rattles crypto markets as BNB falls 7%, Bitcoin slides - https://cointelegraph.com/markets/binance-hack-rattles-crypto-markets-bnb-bitcoin-slide?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
18. [Decrypt] Binance Hacker Hunts for Exit Ramps as DeFi Exchanges Pause Markets - https://decrypt.co/382194/binance-hack-exit-ramps-defi-exchange-ethereum
19. [Cointelegraph] Tampered Ledger reported in Singapore a month before news broke: Asia Express - https://cointelegraph.com/magazine/tampered-ledger-reported-in-singapore-a-month-before-news-broke-asia-express?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
20. [The Block] Binance investigating hack as suspicious outflows reach up to $5.8 billion - https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-10-29-binance-investigating-hack-suspicious-outflows-5-billion-432171
21. [Decrypt] Binance Drained of $5.5 Billion in Suspected Hack, Tether and Circle Freeze $1.8 Billion - https://decrypt.co/382191/binance-suspected-hack-5-billion-tether-circle-freeze-crypto
22. [Cointelegraph] Binance investigates potential multibillion-dollar hack - https://cointelegraph.com/news/binance-linked-wallet-faces-possible-exploit-blockchain-researcher-warns?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
23. [CoinDesk] Multi-billion Binance hack hitting crypto markets - https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/29/potential-multi-billion-binance-hack-hitting-crypto-markets
24. [Makro & The Fed] Why the US Economy Looks Strong But Feels Bad to Many - https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxOWFRwdkJuR0ZnbGs1c1dpb3FBY3N0WXhvZlZ0LUpmU1o0MTVKS3pjVzVRTzhWQ3pzeWFkUmdqajYzbjI2ZDFBTndVNEZSLUNkcDFYUk9UdXRyOXZBR1RFRVM1enNtUlhMOUNQQUEyTUNRSUpVM0NDclFtWG1CRTltOU15Ty1uNml0WlAyN0xUdWtzVWlBclp4VzBnREJQS2ZHRXl0akJfWEU4X1FLNUE?oc=5
25. [The Block] Strategy reports $19.5 billion in Q3 net income as preferred shareholders approve daily dividends - https://www.theblock.co/news/business/2026-10-29-strategy-q3-net-income-preferred-daily-dividends-432141
26. [Decrypt] Coinbase Swings to $719 Million Q3 Profit on Crypto Gains - https://decrypt.co/382188/coinbase-beats-719-million-q3-profit-crypto-gains
27. [Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by The Bank of Nova Scotia - https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/orders20261029a.htm
28. [Makro & The Fed] Inflation has been 'treading water' at best: PIMCO global economic advisor - https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiW0FVX3lxTE12d0pucGZzZDRsakloQkIwNDlLLTh5UERLN3Z1YkNwcXlmbXk5RU5VcjI3ZHJMMl9lUXZscU1hd2dfLVljNExMWFgyRDY0M1I3Q2hWbDFRUFl0eFk?oc=5

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Dibuat 30 Oct 2026 13:47 WIB. Bukan rekomendasi investasi.